Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -2.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -0.7 (+1.3) | 139.7 (+0.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -0.5 (+1.5) | 139.3 (+0.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -1.1 (+0.9) | 140.9 (-0.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -0.5 (+1.5) | 142.3 (-2.3) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNI 73 – 69 BRAD |
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNI 61 – 49 BRAD |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BRAD 75 – 69 UNI |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BRAD 73 – 56 UNI |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UNI 83 – 69 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#266) | -1.8 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.81 (#353) | -0.55 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.79 (#355) | -0.41 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.344 (#340) | 0.550 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 19.7% |
| FT Rate | 14.0% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 11.0% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 84.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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