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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–6 on winners spread MAE 8.1 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Presbyterian @ Tennessee +21.4 141.1 89% 44–86 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ UConn +21.9 149.0 90% 63–72 ✓
Chattanooga @ Tennessee Tech -4.6 136.5 32% 82–65 ✓
Furman @ High Point -8.6 153.8 20% 74–70 ✓
Howard @ Mount St. Mary's +3.4 139.2 51% 70–72 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Northeastern +4.3 131.0 77% 56–66 ✓
Elon @ UNC Greensboro +13.2 137.6 87% 61–74 ✓
Long Island University @ Delaware +9.7 148.9 84% 67–75 ✓
Longwood @ Georgetown +1.7 137.3 70% 83–91 ✓
Old Dominion @ East Carolina +6.9 130.3 65% 62–63 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Texas A&M +15.4 141.7 88% 65–85 ✓
Davidson @ Charlotte -3.1 134.9 35% 75–58 ✓
Sacred Heart @ NJIT +7.5 139.8 78% 70–75 ✓
Indiana @ Syracuse -0.4 146.4 46% 110–112 ✗
Minnesota @ Pittsburgh -6.1 130.1 21% 54–53 ✓
Bellarmine @ West Virginia +13.1 138.1 87% 55–74 ✓
Siena @ Army +13.2 137.0 87% 83–67 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Manhattan +8.2 137.0 82% 73–78 ✓
Florida State @ Purdue +13.2 146.7 84% 65–93 ✓
Tulane @ Charleston +5.6 148.3 74% 77–81 ✓
Rider @ Ole Miss +11.7 136.1 84% 51–75 ✓
Northwestern State @ Houston +28.6 137.9 91% 58–99 ✓
Texas State @ Rice -0.9 148.5 39% 80–69 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ South Dakota State +15.6 156.9 89% 90–99 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Omaha -6.9 133.8 20% 75–65 ✓
Jackson State @ Marquette +11.9 139.9 86% 54–83 ✓
Saint Louis @ Boise State +2.1 130.6 45% 86–82 ✗
New Mexico @ New Mexico State +10.9 151.9 82% 101–94 ✗
Hawai'i @ Santa Clara +8.1 146.9 80% 58–70 ✓
Northwestern @ Wake Forest +2.7 146.4 64% 73–77 ✓
Clemson @ Rutgers +1.8 128.1 60% 64–74 ✓
North Dakota State @ Creighton +14.1 138.9 87% 55–80 ✓
Duke @ Ohio State -2.5 150.5 52% 66–71 ✗
South Dakota @ San José State +4.9 137.8 63% 52–61 ✓
Long Beach State @ San Diego State +16.4 139.8 88% 47–72 ✓
Pepperdine @ Nevada +11.2 149.1 84% 66–79 ✓
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina Upstate +4.7 139.6 70% 67–65 ✗
The Citadel @ UNC Asheville +0.7 151.3 55% 58–65 ✓
American University @ Stony Brook +8.6 148.4 80% 57–80 ✓
Central Michigan @ Xavier +24.7 142.6 91% 45–78 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.