Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -24.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +42 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -21.0 (+21.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -21.4 (+20.6) | 141.1 (-11.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -16.9 (+25.1) | 140.1 (-10.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -18.7 (+23.3) | 140.2 (-10.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -20.5 (+21.5) | 142.6 (-12.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#29) | -3.7 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#48) | 1.02 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.59 (#28) | 1.05 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#46) | 0.566 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 36.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 16.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 40.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 38.4% |
| FT Rate | 13.8% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 78.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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