Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +2 | 222 | Won |
| Massey | IU -2.6 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+74.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -2.5 (+4.5) | 145.0 (+77.0) | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -0.4 (+2.4) | 146.4 (+75.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -3.8 (+5.8) | 150.2 (+71.8) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IU -2.8 (+4.8) | 147.6 (+74.4) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#147) | 10.1 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#237) | 2.19 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#232) | 3.37 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#239) | 0.621 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 36.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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