Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -35.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CONN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +9 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | CONN -28.0 (-19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -24.1 (-15.1) | 151.2 (-16.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -23.7 (-14.7) | 150.2 (-15.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -22.1 (-13.1) | 150.2 (-15.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -21.9 (-12.9) | 149.0 (-14.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2024 | CONN 99 – 45 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CONN | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 6-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 6-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 62.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 19.0 (#6) | -2.7 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#45) | -0.05 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.42 (#32) | -0.77 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#85) | 0.464 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CONN | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 45.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 15.6 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 40.5% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.7% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.