Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +1 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | ECU -13.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -9.5 (-8.5) | 135.2 (-10.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -6.9 (-5.9) | 130.3 (-5.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -9.8 (-8.8) | 138.2 (-13.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -9.8 (-8.8) | 137.2 (-12.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2022 | ODU 71 – 50 ECU |
| Nov 20, 2021 | ECU 73 – 60 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#200) | -8.0 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#148) | -0.82 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#141) | -1.13 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#217) | 0.458 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 25.8% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 42.8% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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