Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | ODU -175 ECU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +21 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | ODU -7.1 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-25.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -4.4 (+16.6) | 146.2 (-25.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -3.2 (+17.8) | 142.3 (-21.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -4.1 (+16.9) | 145.3 (-24.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -4.0 (+17.0) | 147.5 (-26.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2021 | ECU 63 – 62 ODU |
| Nov 20, 2021 | ECU 73 – 60 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#151) | 1.0 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#173) | 0.94 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#156) | 1.80 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#153) | 0.515 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.4 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 36.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 80.2% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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