Betting Lines
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | ODU +115 ECU -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +13 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | ECU -8.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -5.3 (-7.7) | 136.0 (-3.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -5.0 (-8.0) | 132.8 (+0.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -5.6 (-7.4) | 133.8 (-0.8) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -5.9 (-7.1) | 136.7 (-3.7) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2022 | ODU 71 – 50 ECU |
| Dec 1, 2021 | ECU 63 – 62 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#302) | 1.6 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#205) | 0.26 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#226) | 0.52 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#76) | 0.496 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 23.1% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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