Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -650 LIU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -15.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.7 (-19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -9.7 (-1.7) | 148.9 (-6.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -12.2 (-4.2) | 153.8 (-11.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -12.7 (-4.7) | 152.9 (-10.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -11.7 (-3.7) | 154.1 (-12.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-1 |
| Away | 8-5 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#152) | -8.6 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#121) | -1.27 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#114) | -1.51 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#111) | 0.410 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 24.3% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 33.5% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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