Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +10 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -7.9 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -6.9 (-3.1) | 133.8 (+6.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -5.4 (-4.6) | 135.9 (+4.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -5.7 (-4.3) | 135.8 (+4.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -5.2 (-4.8) | 133.8 (+6.2) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2020 | OMA 65 – 63 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-13 |
| Home | 5-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 0-15 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.4 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -16.5 (#353) | -2.4 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#308) | -0.72 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.48 (#303) | -1.21 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#282) | 0.439 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.0% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 9.8% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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