Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | SIUE +155 OMA -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +2 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -15.6 (-17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -7.3 (-9.3) | 140.8 (-12.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -9.2 (-11.2) | 143.0 (-15.0) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -8.9 (-10.9) | 142.7 (-14.7) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -9.4 (-11.4) | 143.4 (-15.4) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2021 | SIUE 75 – 65 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-17 | 5-20 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 3-11 |
| Home | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 78.0 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#111) | -4.4 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#146) | -0.51 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#145) | -1.02 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#110) | 0.535 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.4% | 26.0% |
| REB / G | 28.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 24.4% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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