Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +17 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -1.4 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -0.9 (-16.1) | 138.7 (-5.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -3.1 (-13.9) | 134.9 (-1.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -0.8 (-17.8) | 141.6 (-8.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -0.1 (-16.9) | 140.7 (-7.7) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | DAV 62 – 55 CLT |
| Dec 11, 2024 | DAV 75 – 71 CLT |
| Nov 30, 2023 | DAV 85 – 81 CLT |
| Nov 30, 2022 | CLT 68 – 66 DAV |
| Dec 16, 2020 | CLT 63 – 52 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#212) | 5.7 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#106) | 1.56 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#201) | 2.23 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#116) | 0.607 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 42.3% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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