Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | DAV -360 CLT +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +4 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -11.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -9.2 (-5.2) | 144.7 (+1.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -8.1 (-4.1) | 143.5 (+2.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -9.4 (-5.4) | 144.1 (+1.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -10.6 (-6.6) | 144.7 (+1.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | DAV 62 – 55 CLT |
| Nov 30, 2023 | DAV 85 – 81 CLT |
| Nov 30, 2022 | CLT 68 – 66 DAV |
| Dec 1, 2021 | DAV 75 – 58 CLT |
| Dec 16, 2020 | CLT 63 – 52 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-6 | 8-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#145) | -5.8 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#90) | -1.01 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#87) | -1.35 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#110) | 0.447 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 35.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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