Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | DAV -800 CLT +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +11 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -15.8 (-26.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -9.5 (-20.5) | 127.5 (-12.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -11.8 (-22.8) | 132.5 (-17.5) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -12.5 (-23.5) | 131.3 (-16.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -10.6 (-21.6) | 129.8 (-14.8) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | DAV 62 – 55 CLT |
| Dec 11, 2024 | DAV 75 – 71 CLT |
| Nov 30, 2023 | DAV 85 – 81 CLT |
| Nov 30, 2022 | CLT 68 – 66 DAV |
| Dec 1, 2021 | DAV 75 – 58 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#81) | -4.0 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#143) | -2.64 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#128) | -3.63 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#150) | 0.388 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 40.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.7% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 78.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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