Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | DAV -163 CLT +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +2 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -0.3 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -1.5 (-3.5) | 132.7 (+1.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -1.9 (-3.9) | 129.7 (+4.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -2.2 (-4.2) | 132.9 (+1.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -1.9 (-3.9) | 134.0 (+0.0) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | DAV 62 – 55 CLT |
| Dec 11, 2024 | DAV 75 – 71 CLT |
| Nov 30, 2023 | DAV 85 – 81 CLT |
| Dec 1, 2021 | DAV 75 – 58 CLT |
| Dec 16, 2020 | CLT 63 – 52 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 62.6 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#191) | 6.4 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.92 (#16) | 1.00 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.85 (#27) | 1.56 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.672 (#12) | 0.518 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 78.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 14.3% |
Game Analysis
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