Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | CLT -138 DAV +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +4 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -11.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.1 (+42.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -7.8 (-11.8) | 127.4 (+38.6) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -7.0 (-11.0) | 130.6 (+35.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -8.1 (-12.1) | 129.8 (+36.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -9.5 (-13.5) | 127.0 (+39.0) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | DAV 62 – 55 CLT |
| Dec 11, 2024 | DAV 75 – 71 CLT |
| Nov 30, 2022 | CLT 68 – 66 DAV |
| Dec 1, 2021 | DAV 75 – 58 CLT |
| Dec 16, 2020 | CLT 63 – 52 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-2 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#94) | 0.5 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#70) | -0.41 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#67) | -0.38 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.644 (#34) | 0.457 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 20.4% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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