Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | CLT -125 DAV +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +7 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -16.3 (-23.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (-38.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -9.8 (-16.8) | 146.7 (-29.7) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -12.8 (-19.8) | 148.0 (-31.0) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -13.4 (-20.4) | 145.6 (-28.6) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2024 | DAV 75 – 71 CLT |
| Nov 30, 2023 | DAV 85 – 81 CLT |
| Nov 30, 2022 | CLT 68 – 66 DAV |
| Dec 1, 2021 | DAV 75 – 58 CLT |
| Dec 16, 2020 | CLT 63 – 52 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#122) | -0.9 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#30) | 0.29 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.03 (#14) | 0.46 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#28) | 0.625 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 57.1% |
| 3PT% | 47.6% | 50.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 4.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 69.4% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 45.9% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 34.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
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