Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +20 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -17.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -15.4 (+4.6) | 141.7 (+8.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -14.8 (+5.2) | 142.6 (+7.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -15.6 (+4.4) | 142.6 (+7.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -16.4 (+3.6) | 142.2 (+7.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2020 | TA&M 82 – 53 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-13 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-4 |
| Home | 16-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#72) | -5.3 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#63) | -1.80 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#75) | -2.36 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#53) | 0.404 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.7% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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