Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -20.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +25 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -18.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -16.4 (+8.6) | 139.8 (-20.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -13.1 (+11.9) | 142.0 (-23.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -14.1 (+10.9) | 141.6 (-22.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -15.1 (+9.9) | 139.3 (-20.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2025 | SDSU 77 – 45 LBSU |
| Nov 15, 2023 | SDSU 88 – 76 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 13-4 | 12-3 |
| Home | 14-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.1 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#112) | -9.0 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#87) | -1.38 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#76) | -2.22 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#61) | 0.451 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 26.5% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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