You pay for this but they give you that. "Hey Hey, My My" - Neil Young
CHI Health Center Omaha · December 1, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread CREI -8.0 Home covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total CREI win
Actual CREI +25 135 Won
Massey CREI -14.2 (+10.8) — —
Massey Totals — 135.7 (-0.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CREI -14.1 (+10.9) 138.9 (-3.9) 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CREI -10.9 (+14.1) 139.5 (-4.5) 84% ✓
Baseline ML CREI -11.1 (+13.9) 138.7 (-3.7) 83% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CREI -11.2 (+13.8) 137.7 (-2.7) 84% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 11, 2023 CREI 89 – 60 NDSU
Nov 29, 2020 CREI 69 – 58 NDSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CREI NDSU
Overall 23-12 23-10
Conference 12-7 13-5
Home 11-4 12-3
Away 6-5 9-6
Neutral 6-3 2-1
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.2 73.1
Avg Pts Against 66.4 70.1
Massey 2.1 (#132) -6.0 (#281)
Bradley-Terry 2.08 (#40) 0.04 (#174)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.96 (#44) 0.15 (#172)
RPI 0.582 (#72) 0.478 (#208)
Shooting & Four Factors CREI NDSU
FG% 50.0% 38.0%
3PT% 30.4% 29.0%
REB / G 39.9 37.4
OREB / G 10.0 10.4
AST / TO 1.03 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.2% 44.7%
TOV% 21.3% 19.2%
ORB% 30.6% 27.5%
FT Rate 16.0% 20.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.9% 46.9%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 13.8%
DRB% 73.6% 70.3%
Opp FT Rate 12.9% 17.5%

Game Analysis

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