Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | CREI -7000 NDSU +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +29 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -21.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -14.3 (+14.7) | 151.2 (-2.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -18.2 (+10.8) | 150.4 (-1.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2021 | CREI 80 – 55 NDSU |
| Nov 29, 2020 | CREI 69 – 58 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-4 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#8) | 6.4 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#132) | 1.94 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#100) | 2.60 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#24) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 56.7% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 47.4% | 40.7% |
| REB / G | 53.0 | 55.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 26.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.33 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 70.1% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 53.1% | 49.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.7% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 8.8% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 85.7% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.9% | 8.8% |
Game Analysis
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