Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +13 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -17.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -12.1 (+0.9) | 150.2 (-5.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -11.2 (+1.8) | 149.1 (-4.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -11.6 (+1.4) | 149.1 (-4.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -12.8 (+0.2) | 150.2 (-5.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2022 | NEV 85 – 77 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 1-15 |
| Home | 7-7 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-9 | 0-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 77.8 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#114) | -8.5 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#167) | -0.86 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#155) | -1.15 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#127) | 0.465 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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