Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | PEPP +100 NEV +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +8 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | PEPP -1.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -2.8 (-10.8) | 143.7 (+18.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -0.7 (-7.3) | 142.4 (+19.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -3.4 (-11.4) | 142.4 (+19.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -2.5 (-10.5) | 143.6 (+18.4) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2021 | NEV 79 – 66 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-8 | 14-1 |
| Away | 0-12 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#94) | 8.4 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#126) | 2.14 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#114) | 2.58 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#130) | 0.658 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 40.8% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 36.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 42.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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