Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +12 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -12.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.8 (-33.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -8.1 (+3.9) | 146.9 (-18.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -11.6 (+0.4) | 155.0 (-27.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -11.3 (+0.7) | 154.5 (-26.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -12.4 (-0.4) | 152.0 (-24.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 10-5 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 64.5 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#56) | 1.4 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#118) | -0.67 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#104) | -0.32 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#75) | 0.414 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.0% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 42.0% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.3% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 79.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.