Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Over |
| Money | COFC -165 TULN +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +4 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -10.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (+3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -5.6 (-1.6) | 148.3 (+9.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -6.3 (-2.3) | 149.8 (+8.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -7.6 (-3.6) | 150.9 (+7.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -7.0 (-3.0) | 153.1 (+4.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2021 | COFC 86 – 72 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#146) | -2.8 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#70) | -1.44 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#90) | -2.20 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#90) | 0.395 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 43.5 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 15.8 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.