Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +14 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | TULN -2.7 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -2.6 (-16.6) | 153.4 (+4.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -2.7 (-16.7) | 156.0 (+2.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -2.5 (-16.5) | 154.5 (+3.5) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -3.0 (-17.0) | 153.5 (+4.5) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2021 | COFC 81 – 77 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#172) | 2.5 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#264) | 1.44 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#268) | 1.46 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#309) | 0.566 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 42.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 14.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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