Betting Lines
| Spread | MAN -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +5 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | MAN -13.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (+16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -11.7 (-6.7) | 137.1 (+13.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -11.4 (-6.4) | 138.3 (+12.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -10.4 (-5.4) | 137.7 (+13.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -8.2 (-3.2) | 137.0 (+14.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | FDU 85 – 82 MAN |
| Dec 9, 2023 | FDU 76 – 71 MAN |
| Nov 13, 2022 | FDU 77 – 74 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 4-22 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 3-8 |
| Away | 4-9 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#196) | -8.3 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#129) | -2.06 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#156) | -3.42 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#106) | 0.423 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 36.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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