Betting Lines
| Spread | MAN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | FDU -110 MAN -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +3 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | FDU -1.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -1.3 (+1.7) | 153.0 (+14.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -0.8 (+2.2) | 150.3 (+16.7) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -1.3 (+1.7) | 149.4 (+17.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -0.1 (+3.1) | 153.0 (+14.0) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | FDU 76 – 71 MAN |
| Nov 13, 2022 | FDU 77 – 74 MAN |
| Dec 1, 2021 | MAN 78 – 73 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-15 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#345) | -6.5 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#251) | 0.94 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#248) | 1.38 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#130) | 0.604 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 34.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 23.9% |
| REB / G | 27.7 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 39.3% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 19.6% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.6% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 59.8% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.