Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | MAN -111 FDU -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | MAN -7.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -6.2 (-11.2) | 152.4 (-5.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -6.2 (-11.2) | 150.4 (-3.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -5.8 (-10.8) | 150.4 (-3.4) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -4.0 (-9.0) | 151.8 (-4.8) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | FDU 85 – 82 MAN |
| Nov 13, 2022 | FDU 77 – 74 MAN |
| Dec 1, 2021 | MAN 78 – 73 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 9-7 |
| Home | 3-10 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-12 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 78.4 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#306) | -9.6 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#114) | -0.72 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#174) | -1.59 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#107) | 0.413 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.0% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.