Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | FDU -175 MAN +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | FDU -18.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -8.1 (-5.1) | 147.0 (+4.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -10.8 (-7.8) | 145.8 (+5.2) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | FDU 85 – 82 MAN |
| Dec 9, 2023 | FDU 76 – 71 MAN |
| Dec 1, 2021 | MAN 78 – 73 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 8-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#77) | -1.7 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#176) | -0.41 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#172) | -0.58 (#247) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 51.2% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 20.0 | 1.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 36.7% |
| ORB% | 39.2% | 4.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 59.5% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 35.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.