Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +4 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -7.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -8.6 (+4.6) | 153.8 (-9.8) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -4.9 (+0.9) | 150.8 (-6.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -6.0 (+2.0) | 150.8 (-6.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -5.5 (+1.5) | 151.7 (-7.7) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 3, 2025 | HPU 97 – 71 FUR |
| Dec 7, 2022 | HPU 85 – 82 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#294) | 6.6 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#305) | 1.58 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#307) | 2.62 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#304) | 0.577 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 40.4% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 15.3% |
Game Analysis
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