Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | FUR -700 HPU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +3 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -8.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -8.3 (-11.3) | 157.3 (+9.7) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -6.4 (-9.4) | 155.0 (+12.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -5.9 (-8.9) | 153.9 (+13.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -5.4 (-8.4) | 155.8 (+11.2) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 3, 2025 | HPU 97 – 71 FUR |
| Dec 1, 2021 | FUR 74 – 70 HPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-3 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#119) | -0.1 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#124) | 1.66 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#128) | 2.12 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#115) | 0.556 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 41.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 79.6% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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