Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +4 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -3.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (+37.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -1.7 (-5.7) | 138.8 (+29.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -2.1 (-6.1) | 130.6 (+37.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -2.7 (-6.7) | 135.6 (+32.4) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -2.6 (-6.6) | 136.8 (+31.2) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2022 | BOIS 57 – 52 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#90) | 7.4 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#139) | 1.81 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#143) | 2.53 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#103) | 0.548 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 39.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 32.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 24.8% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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