Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | SLU -215 BOIS +178 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +5 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -1.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-33.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -3.7 (-8.7) | 141.8 (-32.8) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -2.5 (-7.5) | 138.4 (-29.4) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -3.5 (-8.5) | 141.2 (-32.2) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -3.7 (-8.7) | 142.1 (-33.1) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2021 | SLU 86 – 82 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#86) | 8.7 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#56) | 1.04 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#58) | 1.94 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#28) | 0.549 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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