Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
| Money | ARMY -210 SIE +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +16 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -23.6 (-39.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.7 (+23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -16.6 (-32.6) | 135.5 (+14.5) | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -13.2 (-29.2) | 137.0 (+13.0) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -15.0 (-31.0) | 135.1 (+14.9) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -16.5 (-32.5) | 134.9 (+15.1) | 88% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2022 | ARMY 96 – 94 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#130) | -15.2 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#232) | -2.27 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#257) | -3.21 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#165) | 0.365 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 14.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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