Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SIE -225 ARMY +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +2 | 190 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -25.6 (-27.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+51.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -20.7 (-22.7) | 142.1 (+47.9) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -18.7 (-20.7) | 147.2 (+42.8) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -16.0 (-18.0) | 143.0 (+47.0) | 89% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2021 | SIE 83 – 67 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#69) | -10.4 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#35) | -2.95 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#36) | -4.45 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#161) | 0.250 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 47.1% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 4.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 13.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 34.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 59.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 88.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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