Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +16 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -11.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -8.7 (+7.3) | 138.5 (-8.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -8.0 (+8.0) | 139.5 (-9.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -8.5 (+7.5) | 139.2 (-9.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -8.9 (+7.1) | 138.2 (-8.2) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | TEM 90 – 63 LAS |
| Nov 30, 2024 | LAS 83 – 75 TEM |
| Nov 30, 2023 | TEM 106 – 99 LAS |
| Nov 30, 2022 | TEM 67 – 51 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#211) | -7.1 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#202) | -2.55 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#235) | -4.72 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#204) | 0.387 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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