Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | TEM -300 LAS +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +27 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -10.4 (+16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -7.0 (+20.0) | 141.4 (+11.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -7.5 (+19.5) | 141.0 (+12.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -6.2 (+20.8) | 142.4 (+10.6) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2024 | LAS 83 – 75 TEM |
| Nov 30, 2023 | TEM 106 – 99 LAS |
| Nov 30, 2022 | TEM 67 – 51 LAS |
| Dec 2, 2021 | TEM 73 – 57 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#170) | 2.4 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#150) | 0.53 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#149) | 0.69 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#232) | 0.417 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 41.2% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 43.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 15.5 |
| AST / TO | 2.50 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.4% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 9.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 40.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 41.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 42.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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