Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +16 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -3.7 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (-19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -1.5 (-14.5) | 137.9 (-19.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -2.3 (-13.7) | 135.8 (-17.8) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -1.6 (-14.4) | 136.9 (-18.9) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -1.7 (-14.3) | 138.3 (-20.3) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | TEM 90 – 63 LAS |
| Nov 30, 2024 | LAS 83 – 75 TEM |
| Nov 30, 2023 | TEM 106 – 99 LAS |
| Dec 2, 2021 | TEM 73 – 57 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#244) | -0.3 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#241) | -1.37 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#247) | -1.31 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#169) | 0.473 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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