Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | TEM -178 LAS +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +7 | 205 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -10.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (+47.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -5.2 (+1.8) | 149.3 (+55.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -6.6 (+0.4) | 145.6 (+59.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -6.1 (+0.9) | 149.4 (+55.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -5.6 (+1.4) | 150.2 (+54.8) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | TEM 90 – 63 LAS |
| Nov 30, 2024 | LAS 83 – 75 TEM |
| Nov 30, 2022 | TEM 67 – 51 LAS |
| Dec 2, 2021 | TEM 73 – 57 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-20 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#187) | -5.0 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#185) | 0.72 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#206) | 1.07 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#185) | 0.499 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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