Betting Lines
| Spread | NIU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Under |
| Money | NIU -270 EIU +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIU +10 | 100 | Won |
| Massey | NIU -16.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIU -11.7 (-1.7) | 127.0 (-27.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NIU -11.4 (-1.4) | 122.6 (-22.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIU -10.0 (-0.0) | 124.8 (-24.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIU -9.9 (+0.1) | 124.5 (-24.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2024 | EIU 72 – 59 NIU |
| Dec 1, 2022 | NIU 90 – 70 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 3-15 |
| Home | 3-8 | 4-9 |
| Away | 6-11 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 54.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#315) | -18.7 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#250) | -4.92 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#251) | -6.93 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#232) | 0.273 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.9% | 34.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 40.2% |
| TOV% | 23.9% | 25.5% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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