Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | M-OH +145 CIN -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +1 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | M-OH -4.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -4.6 (-5.6) | 145.6 (-28.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -2.6 (-3.6) | 141.2 (-24.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -4.7 (-5.7) | 144.2 (-27.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -4.8 (-5.8) | 145.2 (-28.2) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2022 | CIN 103 – 76 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-8 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#86) | 7.2 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#39) | 1.02 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#57) | 2.22 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#87) | 0.574 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.00 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 10.8% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 39.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.