Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | CIN -1200 M-OH +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +27 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -19.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (+25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -16.1 (+10.9) | 152.8 (+26.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -17.1 (+9.9) | 152.5 (+26.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -17.1 (+9.9) | 152.2 (+26.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -16.8 (+10.2) | 153.1 (+25.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2021 | CIN 59 – 58 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 16-3 | 9-9 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#107) | -10.3 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#188) | -2.32 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#192) | -3.58 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#197) | 0.398 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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