Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | WOF +135 RICH -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +9 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -7.5 (-16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -5.7 (-14.7) | 146.4 (-9.4) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -6.8 (-15.8) | 150.5 (-13.5) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -6.4 (-15.4) | 152.0 (-15.0) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -7.7 (-16.7) | 149.9 (-12.9) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2020 | RICH 77 – 72 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#100) | 2.7 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#116) | -0.53 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#116) | -0.28 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#108) | 0.479 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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