Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | GT +145 WIS -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +4 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -4.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -1.7 (-2.3) | 131.7 (+4.3) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -0.4 (-3.6) | 135.2 (+0.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -1.1 (-2.9) | 135.0 (+1.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -1.5 (-2.5) | 134.5 (+1.5) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-10 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#151) | 11.2 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#115) | 2.28 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#110) | 3.04 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#188) | 0.636 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 41.1% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
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