Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +6 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | RGV -3.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RGV -2.8 (-8.8) | 151.5 (+8.5) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -3.8 (-9.8) | 153.7 (+6.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -2.8 (-8.8) | 153.6 (+6.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -3.0 (-9.0) | 154.2 (+5.8) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | RGV 64 – 55 AMCC |
| Jan 3, 2026 | AMCC 63 – 59 RGV |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RGV 83 – 73 AMCC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AMCC 79 – 74 RGV |
| Dec 16, 2023 | AMCC 86 – 76 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 7-7 |
| Home | 4-9 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#231) | -0.0 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#127) | 1.33 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#103) | 1.54 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#79) | 0.544 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 37.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.6% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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