Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
| Money | MORE -200 GASO +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +8 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -6.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -5.0 (+3.0) | 129.2 (-19.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -5.6 (+2.4) | 127.7 (-17.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -5.4 (+2.6) | 132.5 (-22.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -5.5 (+2.5) | 133.3 (-23.3) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2022 | MORE 74 – 71 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-11 |
| Home | 12-2 | 7-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#93) | 4.0 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#72) | 0.85 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#63) | 1.21 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#51) | 0.540 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 9.7% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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