Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | GASO -188 MORE +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | GASO -8.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.5 (+18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -6.6 (-9.6) | 132.5 (+12.5) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -3.5 (-6.5) | 133.1 (+11.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -6.1 (-9.1) | 134.2 (+10.8) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -7.0 (-10.0) | 134.3 (+10.7) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2021 | MORE 59 – 51 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#284) | -9.2 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#227) | -1.24 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#218) | -1.75 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#219) | 0.450 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 36.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 28.3 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 17.9% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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