Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +6 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -6.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.2 (+10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -5.1 (+0.9) | 130.9 (+5.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -4.3 (+1.7) | 133.4 (+2.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -4.8 (+1.2) | 131.6 (+4.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -5.8 (+0.2) | 128.3 (+7.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | ORE 91 – 76 UCR |
| Dec 15, 2022 | ORE 71 – 65 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-6 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 64.3 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#140) | 1.8 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#194) | 0.91 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#173) | 1.29 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#109) | 0.517 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 14.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 14.4% |
Game Analysis
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