Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -1000 UCR +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +6 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -13.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -9.9 (-3.9) | 134.8 (+1.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -10.3 (-4.3) | 136.3 (-0.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -10.4 (-4.4) | 137.6 (-1.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -11.0 (-5.0) | 135.7 (+0.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | ORE 91 – 76 UCR |
| Dec 2, 2021 | ORE 71 – 65 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#54) | 1.0 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#123) | 1.17 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#105) | 1.06 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#103) | 0.549 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.7% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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